South Asian Insider
The mistaken Chinese calculation
Its economy is shrinking; PLA isn’t fully prepared; anti-China sentiment is high; India will be resolute China has been uncomfortable with the emergence of another Asian power. Apart from checkmating proposals made by India at the United Nations and other global forums, Beijing has tried to contain New Delhi’s influence in the region. In a bid to throw a cordon sanitaire around India, China has focused on the countries in India’s immediate and extended neighbourhood. It has established a strategic partnership with Pakistan and deepened diplomatic, economic and military engagements with others. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has been leveraged for this purpose. China also employs both inducements and coercion. In the Indo-Pacific region, Africa and some other regions, China has unabashedly interfered in internal matters. All emerging great powers tend to be aggressive to maximise their influence in the geopolitical arena. However, in the case of China, such behaviour seems premature. While China has made discernible strides in augmenting its comprehensive national power (CNP), there are still several internal and external challenges that continue to give President Xi Jinping sleepless nights. On the domestic front, these pertain to its economy, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA)’s leadership, national morale, and the rising anti-China sentiment in the international domain. China’s shrinking economy has generated widespread unemployment. The Chinese Communist Party (CPC)-driven policy of empowering State-owned enterprises has impacted the private sector that used to contribute over 65% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and more than 90% of new jobs. Moreover, the relocation of manufacturing, growing debt, and an ageing population that will shrink its workforce, will impinge on China’s economic stability in the long-term. In 2012, Xi had announced the transformation of PLA into a world-class military, that would facilitate its journey towards the “world’s centre-stage” by 2049. Since then, multifaceted reforms have been undertaken to enhance its combat power and accountability to the CPC. However, Xi, who personally monitors the reforms, is unhappy with the professional standards of PLA leadership as it lacks practical war-fighting experience. Several think-tanks have assessed that at this juncture, PLA is well short of the capabilities required to challenge other militaries.National morale is a crucial ingredient of CNP. China’s national morale should not be gauged by its captive media’s reportage and the diplomatic activism unleashed by its new brand of “wolf warriors”. Both are involved in countering the western and Indian media, besides marketing the Chinese model of governance and projecting Xi as a global leader. But beneath the surface, there is growing dissent against the CPC owing to the spike in unemployment, choked civil liberties and victimisation of all perceived detractors and minority communities. Xi’s heavy-handed approach in enhancing the CPC’s control is also creating dangerous undercurrents. As per open-source information, he had dismissed and imprisoned over 2.3 million officials between 2013-2018, including several senior PLA officials and bureaucrats.
PM Modi’s approval rating falls as India struggles to contain second Covid-19 wave: US firm
Approval ratings of PM Modi have fallen to a new low as India grapples with coronavirus pandemic, according to a US data intelligence company. Narendr...
International row created, Delhi ministers still insist Singapore Covid variant is real
Amidst the diplomatic storm that has ensued following Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal’s claims of “Singapore variant” of Covid-19, Delhi ministers insist tha...
"India A Major Priority": US Yet To Decide On Allocation Of 80 Million Vaccine Jabs
A top US official said the allocation decision will be made on the basis of need and collaboration with key partners and COVAX. (Insider Bureau)-No...
Indian-Origin Chemist Among Tech 'Nobel' Prize Winners For Revolutionary DNA Technique
President of the Republic of Finland Sauli Niinisto, who is the Patron of the prize, presented the award to the scientists in a virtual ceremony on Tu...
No one wants to work anymore
The truth behind this unemployment benefits myth. * Millions of unemployed in US face hardship under Republican benefit cuts * At least 22 Republica...
Rajnath Singh asks Army to be on war footing in Covid battle, provide medical help across states
Defence Minister Rajnath Singh has urged the Indian Army to open up its medical facilities for civilians and asked top commanders in states to be in t...
Vaccine embargo: Why Modi needs to call Joe Biden
A US embargo on the export of raw materials could upset India's plans to ramp up its Covid-19 vaccination drive (Insider Bureau)--While the Centre...
As Sanjeev Gupta Rose From Trader to Tycoon, Several Banks Backed Away
Four banks stopped working with British industrialist Sanjeev Gupta's commodity trading business, starting in 2016, after alleged paperwork problems i...
‘’Enough Is Enough”: Relative Of Sikh Woman Killed In US FedEx Shooting
Brandon Scott Hole, 19, and a former employee at the facility in Indianapolis carried out the mass shooting on late Thursday before allegedly killing ...
US 'very closely' tracking course of Covid-19 outbreak in India
(Insider Bureau)-The United States is tracking the course of the COVID-19 outbreak in India "very closely", the State Department has said. The Center...
© All rights Reserved. The south Asian, Published Weekly from New york.