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BJP to face ring of fire in upcoming state elections

  2022 is a busy year in Indian politics, as there are upcoming state legislative assembly general elections in key states like Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Punjab. With new alliances taking place and new members joining on both the sides, the elections in the three states will herald a ‘make or break’ era for the ruling party, Bharatiya Janata Party. Also, it is going to set the tone and momentum for the upcoming Lok Sabha election too. An overall seven states in India will undergo the state legislative assembly election in 2022. Beginning with Goa and Manipur, there will be elections in Punjab, Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand, in February and March. Most of the states have BJP ruled or an alliance government at the helm and the opposition will try hard to change the scenario this time. Arguably, the most important of the lot is going to be the state legislative assembly general election in Uttar Pradesh. According to the trend, whoever holds the power at the Uttar Pradesh state election, also gains a major boost in securing the Lok Sabha victory. The next Indian general election is scheduled to be or before May 2024. All the political parties, for this very reason, are eyeing the upcoming cluster of elections to turn the tide in their own favour. There have been several equations at play at Uttar Pradesh as elections draw closer. Under the leadership of Akhilesh Yadav, the Samajwadi Party has emerged as a strong contender in Uttar Pradesh. It is posing a serious challenge to the Yogi Adityanath-led government, which is relying on rallies with political superstars, along with years of good governance. However, there is an ongoing migration of MLAs from BJP and BSP (Bahujan Samaj Party) to the Samajwadi party, which also proves its comfortable position right now. Among the noteworthy, the most important mention in the list is the former minister in Yogi Adityanatha-government, Swami Prasad Maurya. Besides, the dozen of ex-BJP MLAs, he has also joined by Dara Singh Chauhan, who was the environment minister in the government. The prominent political faces who crossed over to SP blamed BJP’s mismanagement and inability to help the backward class citizens in UP, which will play a key role in the election too. Besides Akhilesh Yadav, Sharad Pawar, the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) leader is one of the masterminds of the opposition alliance. He orchestrated the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) alliance in Maharashtra among Shiv Sena, Congress and NCP to keep BJP out of power in the state assembly election. He will try to do the same in Uttar Pradesh too, where NCP is in alliance with SP.
The senior leader utilizes his personal good relationship with the opposition leaders for the purpose too. Another face of the opposition unity is shown when it was announced that the West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee would campaign for Samajwadi Party in the upcoming Uttar Pradesh Assembly poll. The Trinamool Congress under her leadership stated that they will not contest the election in that state, after meeting with SP vice president Kiranmay Nanda. However, BJP received a major boost when Aparna Yadav, daughter-in-law of former Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister and SP leader, Mulayam Singh Yadav joined BJP. Going against the trend of migration, the joining will surely booze the morale of BJP leaders and workers alike. The battle is uphill for the BJP in the state elections this time, as in most states they are in power and the air of anti incumbency is quite high. In Punjab, the condition is a bit different where Congress is in power. However, the former CM of Punjab from Congress, Captain Amarinder Singh, moved away and formed his own party called Punjab Lok Congress (PLC). Also, he announced an alliance with the BJP for the scheduled assembly elections. The wisdom and trick formed by Amit Shah, the present Minister of Home Affairs and former BJP president, has rescued the party from dire straits several times in the past. This time too, the stakes are high. BJP cannot lose any of the states and also will try to capture the state of Punjab if they want to stay as the strongest contender in the 2024 Lok Sabha election. Any other outcome and the political domination of BJP in India may have to face challenges in the coming year.



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